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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2020-01-06T00:01:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2020-01-06T00:01Z
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2020-01-09T21:00Z (-9.0h, +6.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 40.0%
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:

Met Office ENLIL settings.
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform)
Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1
WSA version: 2.2

Please specify following CME input parameters.
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2020-01-06T11:40Z
Radial velocity (km/s): 350
Longitude (deg): E025
Latitude (deg): S01
Half-angular width (deg): 20

Notes: Low confidence due to difficulty of fitting the CME to imagery, and unable to identify source.
Space weather advisor: Rebecca Spalton

Lead Time: 64.50 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2020-01-07T04:30Z

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